Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SAUVESTRE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with KA YING EXCELLENT second and MR ASCENDENCY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ERIMO finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT 1.21.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly CP/TT H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 7 | 68.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ERIMO B/H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER TEN Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | EN POINTE CP B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 3 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GRACYLOVE V M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 77.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | WEALTHY DELIGHT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 75.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 13 | 209.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ERIMO | 40.4% | 2.47 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY | 11.6% | 8.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | EN POINTE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SAUVESTRE | 9.6% | 10.44 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY | 5.8% | 17.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SETANTA | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | GRACYLOVE | 3.9% | 25.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 3.8% | 26.49 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER TEN | 2.6% | 38.16 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 2.4% | 41.11 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 1.9% | 52.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 1.6% | 64.26 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | COLOURFUL BARON | 0.3% | 304.06 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 66
PLACE
1 23
2 25.5
8 51.5
QUINELLA
1,8 917.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 95.5
1,8 225
2,8 269
FORECAST
1,8 1,457
TIERCE
1,8,2 11,854
TRIO
1,2,8 1,895
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 3,764
QUARTET
1,8,2,5 89,344
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 166.5
1/8 93.5