Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. TURF BRILLIANT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by N, with HYPERION TREE second and FLASH FAMOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite AMAZING BOY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 2.03.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 9.2 | N |
| 2 | 1 | HYPERION TREE B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 14 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SKY GEM Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V- C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | AMAZING BOY CP/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 8.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 49.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | EEVEE B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MAKE IT TURBO B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 13 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 37.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO Led early B/SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 73.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING BOY | 20.4% | 4.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | EEVEE | 15.0% | 6.69 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | HYPERION TREE | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY | 8.8% | 11.36 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | SKY GEM | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT | 6.6% | 15.12 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.8% | 17.12 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE | 5.7% | 17.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS | 5.7% | 17.49 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | MAKE IT TURBO | 4.8% | 20.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.9% | 34.87 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.7% | 37.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.2% | 44.65 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 2.1% | 47.51 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 92
PLACE
1 37
11 71.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
1,12 523
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 498.5
1,12 169.5
11,12 411.5
FORECAST
12,1 1,082
TIERCE
12,1,11 23,643
TRIO
1,11,12 4,758
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 7,511
QUARTET
12,1,11,8 175,171
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A1 —
A2 —