沙田 · 2022-07-01 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-07-01沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由M Chadwick策騎、C W Chang訓練的SEA MONARCH勝出，贏出2-1/4。BRAVE POWER獲得亞軍；RUBY STARS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門WINWIN THIRTYTHREE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SEA MONARCH 後段發力 1.25.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | RUBY STARS CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR 後段發力 B-/CP1 L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 14 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TRAVEL GLORY 後段發力 B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MISSION SMART CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER 早段領放 V K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 7 | 26.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | DAILY BEAUTY 後段發力 TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 26.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER V-/CP1/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 13 | 53.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ATHENA E1 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 4 | 42.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 83.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 17.0 | 22-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MISSION SMART | 34.7% | 2.88 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 20.1% | 4.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP | 8.8% | 11.31 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | DAILY BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | BRAVE POWER | 4.7% | 21.42 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 3.9% | 25.62 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.6% | 27.94 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | SEA MONARCH | 3.6% | 27.99 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.4% | 29.39 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.2% | 31.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | RUBY STARS | 3.1% | 32.23 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.7% | 59.46 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | ATHENA | 1.6% | 61.40 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY MORE | 1.2% | 80.62 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 103.5
PLACE
1 31
13 24.5
14 33.5
QUINELLA
1,14 630.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,13 147
1,14 170.5
13,14 108
FORECAST
14,1 881
TIERCE
14,1,13 5,901
TRIO
1,13,14 1,226
FIRST 4
1,8,13,14 751
QUARTET
14,1,13,8 23,149
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,13,14 44,042
3 PICK 1
A2 33.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 92
8/14 381.5