沙田 · 2022-07-01 · 15:02
第 5場
2022-07-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為YIELDING。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SPARKLING DOLPHIN勝出，贏出1/2。FORTE獲得亞軍；WE ARE HERO獲得季軍。5.2倍大熱門FORTE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN 0.58.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FORTE XB/CP1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WE ARE HERO B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO B-/SR2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 3 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CRACK ON B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SHINING FORTUNE H- A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY GOR B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 7.3 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY XB1 C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 8 | 116.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | AMAZING ROCKY H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 13 | 6.5 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | JACK WIN B/H1/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 41.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MANY WINS B K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 2 | 178.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY GOR | 20.5% | 4.87 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | FORTE | 18.3% | 5.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 13.8% | 7.24 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | AMAZING ROCKY | 9.0% | 11.08 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 8.0% | 12.55 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | CRACK ON | 5.9% | 16.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND | 5.0% | 19.86 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | SHINING FORTUNE | 4.7% | 21.48 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 3.9% | 25.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | WE ARE HERO | 3.3% | 30.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 2.9% | 34.28 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 2.3% | 42.61 | 1 |
| 13 | 13 | JACK WIN | 1.4% | 71.36 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | MANY WINS | 0.8% | 119.95 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 180.5
PLACE
1 19
2 33.5
9 57
QUINELLA
1,9 538
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 97
1,9 195.5
2,9 281
FORECAST
9,1 1,500
TIERCE
9,1,2 12,892
TRIO
1,2,9 1,511
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 3,533
QUARTET
9,1,2,4 96,951
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 20.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
14/1 110.5
14/9 922.5