沙田 · 2022-07-01 · 16:43
第 8場
2022-07-01沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING TO SOFT。由L Hewitson策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的ROYAL AGILITY勝出，贏出4-3/4。SMART FOLKS獲得亞軍；BEAUTY TYCOON獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門BEAUTY TYCOON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT 1.12.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART FOLKS B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 1.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TRUST ME H C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY SKEWER CP M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 69.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ONE FOR ALL CP1/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | SON PAK FU CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 55.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING INNOVATOR TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | TO INFINITY M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 128.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | SPARTAN MISSILE L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 6.8 | 19 |
| 11 | 4 | BRAVE STAR H1/SR1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 23.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIVINE ERA TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 47.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 39.5% | 2.53 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 20.8% | 4.81 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 10.4% | 9.65 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY | 6.3% | 15.91 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | BRAVE STAR | 5.2% | 19.08 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 5.2% | 19.10 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SON PAK FU | 4.9% | 20.53 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | TRUST ME | 2.4% | 41.26 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | ONE FOR ALL | 2.0% | 51.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | DIVINE ERA | 1.9% | 53.16 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SPICY SKEWER | 0.8% | 127.18 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 0.7% | 151.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 118
PLACE
1 10.5
10 26.5
12 28
QUINELLA
10,12 428.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 45
1,12 40
10,12 109.5
FORECAST
10,12 715
TIERCE
10,12,1 2,114
TRIO
1,10,12 267
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 1,008
QUARTET
10,12,1,2 32,293
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 35.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/10 2,890.5
4/12 434