沙田 · 2022-07-01 · 15:33
第 6場
2022-07-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的PEAK TO PEAK勝出，贏出2-1/4。WIN WIN獲得亞軍；STUNNING IMPACT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門NICHOLSON RETURNS跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PEAK TO PEAK 後段發力 V-/PC1/TT 1.25.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | ALL IS GOOD L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 13 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | EL JEFE 後段發力 B-/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | COLONEL 早段領放 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | NICHOLSON RETURNS 後段發力 B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 10 | 3.2 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | YOUNG EXPLORER 後段發力 CP L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 12 | 196.0 | 15 |
| 11 | 11 | JAZZ STEED V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 73.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | M M NEBULA CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | HA LEE CHARM B1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 23.0 | 23-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | KARUIZAWA B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 1 | 150.0 | 31-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STUNNING IMPACT | 24.3% | 4.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 15.1% | 6.61 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | ALL IS GOOD | 10.4% | 9.62 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | EL JEFE | 8.6% | 11.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 8.4% | 11.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | COLONEL | 7.2% | 13.91 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.6% | 15.12 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | M M NEBULA | 5.3% | 18.75 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | WIN WIN | 4.4% | 22.83 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | HA LEE CHARM | 3.9% | 25.46 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | JAZZ STEED | 2.5% | 39.36 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 1.3% | 79.25 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | KARUIZAWA | 0.9% | 105.88 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 0.9% | 112.45 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 154
PLACE
2 41
8 17
12 40
QUINELLA
2,12 1,087
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 101
2,12 332
8,12 110.5
FORECAST
12,2 1,831
TIERCE
12,2,8 10,503
TRIO
2,8,12 1,833
FIRST 4
2,6,8,12 3,037
QUARTET
12,2,8,6 87,732
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 452.5
9/12 1,118.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,13,14/1,2,9/Any Combination 36,005