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Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 15:33

Race 6

Class 4 YIELDING 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.25.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PEAK TO PEAK Closed strongly V-/PC1/TT 1.25.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor 8 15.0 2-1/4
2 0 WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 14 15.0 2-1/4
3 0 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan 3 4.4 4-1/2
4 0 ALL IS GOOD L Ferraris · K W Lui 13 10.0 4-3/4
5 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS H H T Mo · L Ho 2 79.0 4-3/4
6 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 6 8.4 5-1/2
7 0 EL JEFE Closed strongly B-/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 9 11.0 8-1/4
8 0 COLONEL Led early M F Poon · P F Yiu 5 11.0 10-1/4
9 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall 10 3.2 13
10 0 YOUNG EXPLORER Closed strongly CP L Currie · K H Ting 12 196.0 15
11 0 JAZZ STEED V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 11 73.0 17-1/4
12 0 M M NEBULA CP/TT A Badel · K L Man 4 13.0 21-3/4
13 0 HA LEE CHARM B1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size 7 23.0 23-1/2
14 0 KARUIZAWA B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 1 150.0 31-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. PEAK TO PEAK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with WIN WIN second and STUNNING IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite NICHOLSON RETURNS finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PEAK TO PEAK—2. WIN WIN+2.25L3. STUNNING IMPACT+4.5L4. ALL IS GOOD+4.75L5. UNITED ENDEAVORS+4.75L6. LIGHT OF WANSHI+5.5L7. EL JEFE+8.25L8. COLONEL+10.25L9. NICHOLSON RETURNS+13L10. YOUNG EXPLORER+15L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick STUNNING IMPACT (24.3%) finished 3rd — the winner PEAK TO PEAK was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STUNNING IMPACT 24.3% 4.11 3
2 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS 15.1% 6.61 9
3 0 ALL IS GOOD 10.4% 9.62 4
4 0 EL JEFE 8.6% 11.60 7
5 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI 8.4% 11.86 6
6 0 COLONEL 7.2% 13.91 8
7 0 PEAK TO PEAK 6.6% 15.12 1
8 0 M M NEBULA 5.3% 18.75 12
9 0 WIN WIN 4.4% 22.83 2
10 0 HA LEE CHARM 3.9% 25.46 13
11 0 JAZZ STEED 2.5% 39.36 11
12 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS 1.3% 79.25 5
13 0 KARUIZAWA 0.9% 105.88 14
14 0 YOUNG EXPLORER 0.9% 112.45 10
STUNNING IMPACTNICHOLSON RETURNSALL IS GOODEL JEFELIGHT OF WANSHICOLONELPEAK TO PEAK — wonM M NEBULAWIN WINHA LEE CHARMJAZZ STEEDUNITED ENDEAVORSKARUIZAWAYOUNG EXPLORER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 154

PLACE

2 41

8 17

12 40

QUINELLA

2,12 1,087

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 101

2,12 332

8,12 110.5

FORECAST

12,2 1,831

TIERCE

12,2,8 10,503

TRIO

2,8,12 1,833

FIRST 4

2,6,8,12 3,037

QUARTET

12,2,8,6 87,732

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 26.5

5TH DOUBLE

9/2 452.5

9/12 1,118.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,13,14/1,2,9/Any Combination 36,005