Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H 1.51.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 3.7 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Led early CP-/B1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 8.2 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 6.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 3.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BELUGA H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 8.2 | 9-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING QUEST B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 23.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 17.0 | 31-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on YIELDING going. BOURBONAIRE, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 6, with MONEY CATCHER second and RUNNING GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SIGHT SPIRIT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 22.7% | 4.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 19.7% | 5.08 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA | 18.5% | 5.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 8.2% | 12.17 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 5.4% | 18.64 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 5.3% | 18.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 4.5% | 22.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 4.0% | 25.14 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 37
PLACE
1 26
5 17.5
8 14.5
QUINELLA
1,8 138
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 70.5
1,8 51
5,8 34.5
FORECAST
8,1 260
TIERCE
8,1,5 846
TRIO
1,5,8 192
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 110
QUARTET
8,1,5,9 2,568
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 132
8/8 341.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25.5