Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 17:18
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.37.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 24.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 13 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TUCHEL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 1.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly SR1/XB1/TT1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING COOL PC K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early V L Currie · F C Lor | L Currie | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | NEARLY FINE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 9.4 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 41.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 73.0 | 24-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER WINNER TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 24-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA CP/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 55.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on YIELDING TO SOFT going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Size, won by SH, with MR ASCENDENCY second and TUCHEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite TUCHEL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL | 44.4% | 2.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 13.1% | 7.60 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 11.7% | 8.58 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 9.3% | 10.76 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 4.2% | 23.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.1% | 31.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 2.7% | 37.56 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.4% | 41.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 2.3% | 43.39 | — |
| 10 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 2.2% | 45.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 1.8% | 57.09 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 1.6% | 62.93 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 1.3% | 79.93 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 240
PLACE
1 32
5 12
6 52.5
QUINELLA
1,6 1,215
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 54
1,6 317.5
5,6 115
FORECAST
6,1 1,701
TIERCE
6,1,5 8,102
TRIO
1,5,6 783
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 3,734
QUARTET
6,1,5,2 140,760
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31
8TH DOUBLE
10/1 208
10/6 1,505