Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEA MONARCH Closed strongly 1.25.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUBY STARS CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B-/CP1 L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 14 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MISSION SMART CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER Led early V K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 7 | 26.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 26.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER V-/CP1/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 13 | 53.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ATHENA E1 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 4 | 42.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 83.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 17.0 | 22-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. SEA MONARCH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C W Chang, won by 2-1/4, with BRAVE POWER second and RUBY STARS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite WINWIN THIRTYTHREE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISSION SMART | 34.7% | 2.88 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 20.1% | 4.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP | 8.8% | 11.31 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 4.7% | 21.42 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 3.9% | 25.62 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.6% | 27.94 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 3.6% | 27.99 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.4% | 29.39 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.2% | 31.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 3.1% | 32.23 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.7% | 59.46 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | ATHENA | 1.6% | 61.40 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | VICTORY MORE | 1.2% | 80.62 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 103.5
PLACE
1 31
13 24.5
14 33.5
QUINELLA
1,14 630.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,13 147
1,14 170.5
13,14 108
FORECAST
14,1 881
TIERCE
14,1,13 5,901
TRIO
1,13,14 1,226
FIRST 4
1,8,13,14 751
QUARTET
14,1,13,8 23,149
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,13,14 44,042
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 33.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 92
8/14 381.5