Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. M M JOHNNY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by N, with THETA HEDGE second and G ONE EXCELLENT third. The 5.0 favourite G ONE EXCELLENT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | M M JOHNNY B 1.10.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | THETA HEDGE H/V1/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | G ONE EXCELLENT V/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 1 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 9 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | THE MULTIPLIER CP/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | GIVE WAY PLEASE CP1/H1/XB2/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STEEL WIN V1/TT1 L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | KING'S TROOPER TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | STAR OF WUYI B/TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 5.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 8.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | E HONEY M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 15.2% | 6.58 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 14.1% | 7.11 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | THE MULTIPLIER | 12.7% | 7.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 8.5% | 11.70 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | E HONEY | 7.5% | 13.33 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | M M JOHNNY | 6.9% | 14.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | STAR OF WUYI | 6.4% | 15.51 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | THETA HEDGE | 5.5% | 18.32 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | STEEL WIN | 5.4% | 18.38 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | KING'S TROOPER | 5.4% | 18.39 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 5.2% | 19.20 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 131
PLACE
2 47.5
6 18
11 44
QUINELLA
2,11 1,278
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 139.5
2,11 366.5
6,11 128.5
FORECAST
11,2 2,418
TIERCE
11,2,6 13,861
TRIO
2,6,11 2,024
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 10,279
QUARTET
11,2,6,9 277,334
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25
A1 —
A2 —