Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 17:52
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING TO SOFT going. POWER KOEPP, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with MIDORI BEAUTY second and SAKEWIN third. The 2.4 favourite SAKEWIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | POWER KOEPP E 1.11.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SAKEWIN J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 2.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | KEEN UNITY K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 5 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ACE ONE B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GRACYLOVE V L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER BABY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 58.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 19.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | STAR BRITE CP/TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAKEWIN | 38.4% | 2.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | ACE ONE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | POWER KOEPP | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 6.2% | 16.10 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR BRITE | 6.2% | 16.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.3% | 30.55 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER BABY | 2.3% | 42.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | REGENCY BO BO | 2.2% | 45.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | KEEN UNITY | 2.0% | 48.95 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | GRACYLOVE | 1.9% | 53.57 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.8% | 54.12 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.6% | 64.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 61
PLACE
4 13.5
6 19
9 22
QUINELLA
6,9 231
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 29
4,9 44
6,9 76
FORECAST
6,9 421
TIERCE
6,9,4 1,371
TRIO
4,6,9 211
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 1,095
QUARTET
6,9,4,8 29,432
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/4,6,9 16,848
9TH DOUBLE
6/6 775
6/9 554.5
SIX UP
1,9/2,12/4,8/10,12/1,6/6,9 742,942
9/12/4/10/6/6 7,854,420
7 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
10/6/6 9,549
10/6/9 5,841