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Sha Tin · 2022-07-01 · 17:52

Race 10

Class 3 YIELDING TO SOFT 1200m Course C 11 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 MIDORI BEAUTY TT Z Purton · W Y So 7 7.6 3/4
3 0 SAKEWIN J Moreira · F C Lor 9 2.4 4-1/2
4 0 KEEN UNITY K Teetan · A T Millard 12 47.0 5
5 0 REGENCY BO BO B/TT L Currie · C S Shum 5 25.0 5-1/4
6 0 ACE ONE B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte 10 5.9 5-1/2
7 0 GRACYLOVE V L Ferraris · D J Hall 11 21.0 6-1/4
8 0 LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes 4 25.0 8-3/4
9 0 SUPER BABY M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 19.0 9-3/4
10 0 SUPER BUDDY B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 58.0 12
11 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 3 19.0 12-1/4
12 0 STAR BRITE CP/TT B Shinn · K W Lui 6 13.0 18-1/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size — 6.1 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING TO SOFT going. MIDORI BEAUTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SAKEWIN second and KEEN UNITY third. The 2.4 favourite SAKEWIN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. MIDORI BEAUTY+0.75L3. SAKEWIN+4.5L4. KEEN UNITY+5L5. REGENCY BO BO+5.25L6. ACE ONE+5.5L7. GRACYLOVE+6.25L8. LUCKY QUALITY+8.75L9. SUPER BABY+9.75L10. SUPER BUDDY+12L11. HIGHLY PROACTIVE+12.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SAKEWIN 38.4% 2.61 3
2 0 ACE ONE 17.3% 5.79 6
3 0 POWER KOEPP 16.9% 5.92 —
4 0 MIDORI BEAUTY 6.2% 16.10 2
5 0 STAR BRITE 6.2% 16.25 12
6 0 LUCKY QUALITY 3.3% 30.55 8
7 0 SUPER BABY 2.3% 42.84 9
8 0 REGENCY BO BO 2.2% 45.23 5
9 0 KEEN UNITY 2.0% 48.95 4
10 0 GRACYLOVE 1.9% 53.57 7
11 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 1.8% 54.12 11
12 0 SUPER BUDDY 1.6% 64.04 10
SAKEWINACE ONEPOWER KOEPPMIDORI BEAUTYSTAR BRITELUCKY QUALITYSUPER BABYREGENCY BO BOKEEN UNITYGRACYLOVEHIGHLY PROACTIVESUPER BUDDY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 61

PLACE

4 13.5

6 19

9 22

QUINELLA

6,9 231

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 29

4,9 44

6,9 76

FORECAST

6,9 421

TIERCE

6,9,4 1,371

TRIO

4,6,9 211

FIRST 4

4,6,8,9 1,095

QUARTET

6,9,4,8 29,432

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 17.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,6/4,6,9 16,848

9TH DOUBLE

6/6 775

6/9 554.5

SIX UP

1,9/2,12/4,8/10,12/1,6/6,9 742,942

9/12/4/10/6/6 7,854,420

7 [M Chadwick] —

TREBLE

10/6/6 9,549

10/6/9 5,841