沙田 · 2022-10-16 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-10-16沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的S J TOURBILLON勝出，贏出NOSE。WOODFIRE BRO獲得亞軍；PRECISE EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門LOOKING COOL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 SR/XB/CP1/TT 1.46.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 14 | WOODFIRE BRO 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 7.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 P-/H S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON 早段領放 H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 14 | 21.0 | SH |
| 5 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LOOKING COOL 後段發力 PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | NORDIC SKY 後段發力 SR/XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 13 | 61.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | TOTAL POWER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | MOONLIGHT VISTA TT H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 136.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB1/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 29.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOOKING COOL | 29.8% | 3.36 | 5 |
| 2 | 14 | WOODFIRE BRO | 16.5% | 6.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER | 12.6% | 7.95 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | HIT THE SHOT | 5.2% | 19.12 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | TOTAL POWER | 5.0% | 19.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | ENTRUSTED | 4.7% | 21.47 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.21 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.8% | 25.99 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 3.6% | 27.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.5% | 28.28 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 2.5% | 40.69 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | NORDIC SKY | 1.7% | 57.65 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 0.6% | 176.03 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 446.5
PLACE
4 62
5 104
14 25
QUINELLA
5,14 1,557.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 749.5
4,14 201
5,14 408
FORECAST
5,14 3,768
TIERCE
5,14,4 81,198
TRIO
4,5,14 10,155
FIRST 4
2,4,5,14 29,370
QUARTET
5,14,4,2 876,328
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/5 1,991
7/14 88
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/7,9,11/Any Combination 57,658