沙田 · 2022-10-16 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-10-16沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING TREADMILL勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER FORTUNE獲得亞軍；SCIENCE PATCH獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門BUNDLE OF CHARM跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL SR 1.08.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | SCIENCE PATCH V S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SETANTA B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 14 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 10 | 57.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | READY TO WIN H-/CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | FUN N GLORY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | SEASONS BLISS B L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 13 | 95.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL | 20.5% | 4.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 12.2% | 8.17 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | SCIENCE PATCH | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | FUN N GLORY | 6.7% | 14.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 6.2% | 16.15 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY | 6.1% | 16.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | SETANTA | 5.6% | 17.88 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | SEASONS BLISS | 5.2% | 19.33 | 13 |
| 10 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.9% | 20.41 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | READY TO WIN | 3.5% | 28.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 2.3% | 42.55 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | SUPER WINNER | 2.2% | 44.70 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.0% | 49.36 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 49
PLACE
1 21
2 20.5
14 22.5
QUINELLA
1,2 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 66.5
1,14 74
2,14 65.5
FORECAST
2,1 293
TIERCE
2,1,14 1,450
TRIO
1,2,14 365
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 1,985
QUARTET
2,1,14,6 26,889
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,14/1,2,14 186,083
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 108.5
10/2 374.5
SIX UP
7/5/1/3/10/2 1,075,065
7,11/5,14/1,7/3,4/8,10/1,2 7,583
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/10/1 138
3/10/2 495