Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL SR 1.08.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH V S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 14 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 10 | 57.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | READY TO WIN H-/CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FUN N GLORY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS B L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 13 | 95.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SETANTA B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING TREADMILL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER FORTUNE second and SCIENCE PATCH third. The 3.2 favourite BUNDLE OF CHARM finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL | 20.5% | 4.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 12.2% | 8.17 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FUN N GLORY | 6.7% | 14.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS | 6.2% | 16.15 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 6.1% | 16.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SETANTA | 5.6% | 17.88 | — |
| 9 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS | 5.2% | 19.33 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.9% | 20.41 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | READY TO WIN | 3.5% | 28.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 2.3% | 42.55 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 2.2% | 44.70 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.0% | 49.36 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 49
PLACE
1 21
2 20.5
14 22.5
QUINELLA
1,2 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 66.5
1,14 74
2,14 65.5
FORECAST
2,1 293
TIERCE
2,1,14 1,450
TRIO
1,2,14 365
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 1,985
QUARTET
2,1,14,6 26,889
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,14/1,2,14 186,083
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 108.5
10/2 374.5
SIX UP
7/5/1/3/10/2 1,075,065
7,11/5,14/1,7/3,4/8,10/1,2 7,583
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/10/1 138
3/10/2 495