Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly SR/XB/CP1/TT 1.46.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 7.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly P-/H S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 14 | 21.0 | SH |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING COOL Closed strongly PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Closed strongly SR/XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 13 | 61.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA TT H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 136.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB1/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 29.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. S J TOURBILLON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with WOODFIRE BRO second and PRECISE EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite LOOKING COOL finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 29.8% | 3.36 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO | 16.5% | 6.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 12.6% | 7.95 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 5.2% | 19.12 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 5.0% | 19.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 4.7% | 21.47 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.21 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.8% | 25.99 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 3.6% | 27.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.5% | 28.28 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 2.5% | 40.69 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 1.7% | 57.65 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 0.6% | 176.03 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 446.5
PLACE
4 62
5 104
14 25
QUINELLA
5,14 1,557.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 749.5
4,14 201
5,14 408
FORECAST
5,14 3,768
TIERCE
5,14,4 81,198
TRIO
4,5,14 10,155
FIRST 4
2,4,5,14 29,370
QUARTET
5,14,4,2 876,328
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/5 1,991
7/14 88
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/7,9,11/Any Combination 57,658