Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 16:07
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly 1.21.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Led early TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ADEFILL Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCK STAR Closed strongly A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 12 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 79.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | IRON WILL B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY H/P/TT2 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SMILING CITY V-/B1 R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 9 | 49.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SWEET ENCOUNTER, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by SH, with BLISSFUL STAR second and SPEED FAY FAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite BLISSFUL STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 23.5% | 4.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 9.4% | 10.67 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 6.0% | 16.59 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 5.0% | 20.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.8% | 20.67 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA | 4.1% | 24.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | ADEFILL | 4.0% | 24.81 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.4% | 29.80 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 3.3% | 30.26 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | IRON WILL | 1.6% | 63.77 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.3% | 77.60 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 37.5
PLACE
1 19.5
7 15.5
12 29
QUINELLA
1,7 89
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 39.5
1,12 87
7,12 84
FORECAST
1,7 166
TIERCE
1,7,12 1,264
TRIO
1,7,12 319
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 495
QUARTET
1,7,12,6 6,817
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,14/1,7,12 317,053
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 1,662
5/7 278