沙田 · 2022-10-16 · 16:07
第 7場
2022-10-16沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的SWEET ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出SH。BLISSFUL STAR獲得亞軍；SPEED FAY FAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門BLISSFUL STAR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 1.21.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | BLISSFUL STAR 後段發力 V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 早段領放 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | ADEFILL 後段發力 CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | LUCK STAR 後段發力 A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 12 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 79.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | IRON WILL B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | BORN THE SAME DAY H/P/TT2 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | SMILING CITY V-/B1 R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 9 | 49.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BLISSFUL STAR | 23.5% | 4.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 9.4% | 10.67 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 6.0% | 16.59 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | LUCK STAR | 5.0% | 20.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.8% | 20.67 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA | 4.1% | 24.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | ADEFILL | 4.0% | 24.81 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.4% | 29.80 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | SMILING CITY | 3.3% | 30.26 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | IRON WILL | 1.6% | 63.77 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.3% | 77.60 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 37.5
PLACE
1 19.5
7 15.5
12 29
QUINELLA
1,7 89
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 39.5
1,12 87
7,12 84
FORECAST
1,7 166
TIERCE
1,7,12 1,264
TRIO
1,7,12 319
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 495
QUARTET
1,7,12,6 6,817
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,14/1,7,12 317,053
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 1,662
5/7 278