沙田 · 2022-10-16 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-10-16沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、L Ho訓練的HAPPY DAILY勝出，贏出3/4。A PAL獲得亞軍；HAPPY DAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.1倍大熱門HORSESAIN BOLT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT 1.21.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 3 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | A PAL 後段發力 CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO 後段發力 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 13 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 14 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EN POINTE 早段領放 CP Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN V/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | COBHFIELD 後段發力 SR-/XB2/TT- S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 8 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ICE LEGEND | 14.5% | 6.91 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 11.4% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 9.7% | 10.27 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 8.9% | 11.20 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 8.7% | 11.52 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | EN POINTE | 8.1% | 12.30 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 7.0% | 14.33 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 6.3% | 15.89 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER OASIS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 14 |
| 10 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.6% | 21.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO | 4.6% | 21.63 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | COBHFIELD | 4.5% | 22.19 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | A PAL | 4.2% | 23.97 | 2 |
| 14 | 5 | THE RUNNER | 2.2% | 46.22 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 59.5
PLACE
8 44.5
10 20.5
14 58
QUINELLA
8,10 486.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 180
8,14 458.5
10,14 217.5
FORECAST
10,8 974
TIERCE
10,8,14 12,309
TRIO
8,10,14 2,914
FIRST 4
4,8,10,14 7,200
QUARTET
10,8,14,4 142,880
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27.5
8TH DOUBLE
3/8 29
3/10 94