沙田 · 2022-10-16 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-10-16沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PLEASANT ENDEAVOR勝出，贏出1/2。NOBLE ONE獲得亞軍；BIG ME獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門BIG ME跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 30.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | NOBLE ONE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BIG ME TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 1 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GLORY BO BO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | DIVINE ERA TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 96.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON SB- L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SAVVY CHIC TT1 S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 12 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GENEROUS FRIEND R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 84.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | DASHING TRIUMPH TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 14 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | HEI WONGCHOY TT V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 13 | 151.0 | 26-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WE ARE HERO S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BIG ME | 21.4% | 4.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY | 17.4% | 5.74 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SAVVY CHIC | 13.2% | 7.58 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 10.8% | 9.27 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.9% | 11.22 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING HIGH | 7.8% | 12.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | NOBLE ONE | 3.8% | 26.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 3.5% | 28.24 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.0% | 33.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | UNITED WE STAND | 2.9% | 34.39 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | GLORY BO BO | 2.9% | 34.57 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 2.6% | 38.66 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | DIVINE ERA | 1.0% | 95.40 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | HEI WONGCHOY | 0.6% | 156.97 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 300.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 69
6 45.5
QUINELLA
2,6 2,211
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 144
1,6 124
2,6 593.5
FORECAST
2,6 5,993
TIERCE
2,6,1 26,672
TRIO
1,2,6 2,320
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 2,785
QUARTET
2,6,1,5 120,483
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/1,2,6 10,178
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/2 867
3/6 71.5