Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with A PAL second and HAPPY DAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite HORSESAIN BOLT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT 1.21.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 3 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | A PAL Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 13 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 14 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EN POINTE Led early CP Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN V/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | COBHFIELD Closed strongly SR-/XB2/TT- S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 8 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ICE LEGEND | 14.5% | 6.91 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 11.4% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 9.7% | 10.27 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 8.9% | 11.20 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 8.7% | 11.52 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | EN POINTE | 8.1% | 12.30 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 7.0% | 14.33 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 6.3% | 15.89 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER OASIS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 14 |
| 10 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.6% | 21.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO | 4.6% | 21.63 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | COBHFIELD | 4.5% | 22.19 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | A PAL | 4.2% | 23.97 | 2 |
| 14 | 5 | THE RUNNER | 2.2% | 46.22 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 59.5
PLACE
8 44.5
10 20.5
14 58
QUINELLA
8,10 486.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 180
8,14 458.5
10,14 217.5
FORECAST
10,8 974
TIERCE
10,8,14 12,309
TRIO
8,10,14 2,914
FIRST 4
4,8,10,14 7,200
QUARTET
10,8,14,4 142,880
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27.5
8TH DOUBLE
3/8 29
3/10 94