Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STUNNING IMPACT, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P C Ng, won by 3, with VOYAGE STAR second and BAEBAE TSOI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite BULB PALS finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B 1.21.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 7 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI Led early CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly P-/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CHARMING STEED TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 14 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 10 | 5.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | HO HO JUNIOR L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 5 | 103.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW SR-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | BULB PALS TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 4.3 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER CP L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 12 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | SWEET DIAMOND TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BULB PALS | 22.1% | 4.52 | 12 |
| 2 | 14 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 10.8% | 9.29 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT | 10.7% | 9.33 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR CONTACT | 10.7% | 9.35 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.3% | 10.70 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO | 5.5% | 18.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR | 4.8% | 20.86 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI | 4.7% | 21.32 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | FUNCTION PATCH | 4.5% | 22.16 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER | 4.4% | 22.78 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | CHARMING STEED | 4.2% | 24.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | SWEET DIAMOND | 4.0% | 24.96 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 2.8% | 35.42 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | HO HO JUNIOR | 1.4% | 69.21 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 58
PLACE
7 18.5
9 29
11 48
QUINELLA
7,11 472
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 73.5
7,11 152
9,11 211.5
FORECAST
7,11 1,048
TIERCE
7,11,9 7,523
TRIO
7,9,11 989
FIRST 4
7,9,11,14 1,629
QUARTET
7,11,9,14 45,006
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/7 1,985.5
2/11 729