Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REGENCY MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by NOSE, with LOYAL AMBITION second and MURRAY'S PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.6 favourite MURRAY'S PARTNERS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 2.02.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 7.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 8.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SKY GEM Closed strongly A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 12 | 30.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 7 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | STAR OF GLORY Led early B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 10 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BARON ZEE PC-/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 13 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | MISTER MONTE B-/CP2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 5 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 16.6% | 6.04 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | STAR OF GLORY | 16.5% | 6.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | LOYAL AMBITION | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS | 7.8% | 12.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT | 7.2% | 13.89 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER | 6.9% | 14.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY | 6.4% | 15.53 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 5.7% | 17.47 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 5.1% | 19.62 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | MISTER MONTE | 3.8% | 26.39 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.5% | 28.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | SKY GEM | 3.2% | 31.65 | 4 |
| 13 | 3 | BARON ZEE | 2.4% | 41.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 72
PLACE
1 21.5
4 28
8 33.5
QUINELLA
4,8 415
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 109
1,8 112
4,8 145
FORECAST
4,8 1,118
TIERCE
4,8,1 6,119
TRIO
1,4,8 795
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 5,795
QUARTET
4,8,1,10 133,609
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 285.5
2/8 30.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 18
A2 —