Sha Tin · 2022-10-16 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.08.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.5 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ROCK YA HEART TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 3 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 5 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL PC M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-16 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FANTASTIC WAY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by SH, with IMA SINGLE MAN second and FAMILY FOLKS third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC WAY | 18.1% | 5.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 11.1% | 9.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL | 9.2% | 10.92 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ROCK YA HEART | 6.3% | 15.86 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 6.2% | 16.23 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 6.0% | 16.66 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 3.9% | 25.44 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
1 16.5
2 12.5
3 11
QUINELLA
2,3 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 28
1,3 22.5
2,3 19.5
FORECAST
3,2 104
TIERCE
3,2,1 188
TRIO
1,2,3 46
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 111
QUARTET
3,2,1,5 1,201
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 63.5
4/3 309.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5