沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 14:33
第 4場
2023-05-13沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的SPARKLING KNIGHT勝出，贏出SH。STRATHPEFFER獲得亞軍；SPARKLING DOLPHIN獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MIDAS TOUCH跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPARKLING KNIGHT B- 0.56.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | STRATHPEFFER H-/SR-/B1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 48.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | ALWAYS AWESOME H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MIDAS TOUCH E1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HIGH PERCENTAGE H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 1 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION B-/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 8 | 5.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCKY FUN V- K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 15.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 8 | STERLING WONGCHOY E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MIDAS TOUCH | 23.1% | 4.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 15.4% | 6.51 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 12.5% | 8.01 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 10.4% | 9.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 8.7% | 11.44 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 5.9% | 16.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 4.4% | 22.71 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.0% | 24.90 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 3.7% | 26.79 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY FUN | 3.3% | 30.73 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 1.5% | 65.86 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 105
PLACE
4 52.5
9 33.5
13 102
QUINELLA
9,13 1,955
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 256
4,13 848.5
9,13 523.5
FORECAST
9,13 3,002
TIERCE
9,13,4 42,341
TRIO
4,9,13 8,761
FIRST 4
4,5,9,13 15,218
QUARTET
9,13,4,5 370,821
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/4,9,13 1,382,689
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/9 800.5
1/13 529