沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 15:02
第 5場
2023-05-13沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的STORM LEGEND勝出，贏出2-1/2。SPEED FAY FAY獲得亞軍；NORTHERN BEAST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.6倍大熱門SPEED FAY FAY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 1.23.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B Z Purton · A T Millard | Z Purton | A T Millard | 9 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | BROTHER PEARL 後段發力 B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | COLONEL 早段領放 V B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 5 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | GOOD BOY 後段發力 B/H K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LUCKY PLANET SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | TURTLE AGAIN 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 13 | 53.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | WIN WIN B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 6.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | DIAMOND WINNER B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 98.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MAGIC TORONADO L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORTHERN BEAST | 14.3% | 6.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY | 13.9% | 7.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | CHARMANDER | 9.3% | 10.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | WIN WIN | 8.8% | 11.40 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM LEGEND | 8.7% | 11.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | PEAK TO PEAK | 8.1% | 12.27 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | COLONEL | 7.8% | 12.78 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY PLANET | 7.6% | 13.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 7.4% | 13.49 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | GOOD BOY | 4.0% | 24.86 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 3.4% | 29.24 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | TURTLE AGAIN | 2.7% | 37.12 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | BROTHER PEARL | 2.5% | 40.52 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.4% | 70.93 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 86.5
PLACE
1 28
5 55
9 17.5
QUINELLA
1,9 177
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 234
1,9 69
5,9 158
FORECAST
1,9 619
TIERCE
1,9,5 6,158
TRIO
1,5,9 1,016
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 2,016
QUARTET
1,9,5,12 53,404
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/9/1 13,250
1/9/9 967
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 20
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 975
9/9 120