Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 15:02

Race 5

Class 4 YIELDING 1400m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STORM LEGEND Closed strongly 1.23.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 8.6 2-1/2
2 0 SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B Z Purton · A T Millard 9 4.6 2-1/2
3 0 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 6 17.0 2-3/4
4 0 STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 8.3 3
5 0 CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 1 10.0 3-1/2
6 0 BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B R Maia · C H Yip 14 23.0 3-3/4
7 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 23.0 4-3/4
8 0 COLONEL Led early V B Avdulla · P F Yiu 5 11.0 5
9 0 GOOD BOY Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · P C Ng 11 36.0 5-1/4
11 0 PEAK TO PEAK B/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 6.9 5-1/2
12 0 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung 13 53.0 7
13 0 WIN WIN B C L Chau · T P Yung 3 6.0 10-1/4
14 0 DIAMOND WINNER B1 A Hamelin · J Size 4 98.0 11-1/2
— 0 LUCKY PLANET SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte — 14.0 5-1/2
— 0 MAGIC TORONADO L Currie · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. STORM LEGEND, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-1/2, with SPEED FAY FAY second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite SPEED FAY FAY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORM LEGEND—2. SPEED FAY FAY+2.5L3. NORTHERN BEAST+2.75L4. STRONGEST BOY+3L5. CHARMANDER+3.5L6. BROTHER PEARL+3.75L7. SINGAPORE SPIRIT+4.75L8. COLONEL+5L9. GOOD BOY+5.25L11. PEAK TO PEAK+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick NORTHERN BEAST (14.3%) finished 3rd — the winner STORM LEGEND was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 NORTHERN BEAST 14.3% 6.99 3
2 0 SPEED FAY FAY 13.9% 7.19 2
3 0 CHARMANDER 9.3% 10.79 5
4 0 WIN WIN 8.8% 11.40 13
5 0 STORM LEGEND 8.7% 11.44 1
6 0 PEAK TO PEAK 8.1% 12.27 11
7 0 COLONEL 7.8% 12.78 8
8 0 LUCKY PLANET 7.6% 13.15 —
9 0 STRONGEST BOY 7.4% 13.49 4
10 0 GOOD BOY 4.0% 24.86 9
11 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 3.4% 29.24 7
12 0 TURTLE AGAIN 2.7% 37.12 12
13 0 BROTHER PEARL 2.5% 40.52 6
14 0 DIAMOND WINNER 1.4% 70.93 14
NORTHERN BEASTSPEED FAY FAYCHARMANDERWIN WINSTORM LEGEND — wonPEAK TO PEAKCOLONELLUCKY PLANETSTRONGEST BOYGOOD BOYSINGAPORE SPIRITTURTLE AGAINBROTHER PEARLDIAMOND WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 86.5

PLACE

1 28

5 55

9 17.5

QUINELLA

1,9 177

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 234

1,9 69

5,9 158

FORECAST

1,9 619

TIERCE

1,9,5 6,158

TRIO

1,5,9 1,016

FIRST 4

1,5,9,12 2,016

QUARTET

1,9,5,12 53,404

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/9/1 13,250

1/9/9 967

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 20

4TH DOUBLE

9/1 975

9/9 120