Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. FLAMINGO TRILLION, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with CASA LEGEND second and SOLAR PARTNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SOLAR PARTNER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly 1.23.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER Led early CP/TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ARIEL CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 57.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 4.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 123.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING TRAVIS Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 7 | 173.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | D STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 8.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HERO ICON TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | M UNICORN H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 47.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | NOBLE ACE TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 43.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 31.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPER MAGIC B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 127.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ARIEL | 23.9% | 4.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 15.6% | 6.42 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 9.3% | 10.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | D STAR | 7.4% | 13.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 7.3% | 13.70 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | HERO ICON | 4.3% | 23.11 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 3.8% | 26.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 3.2% | 30.98 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | NOBLE ACE | 3.2% | 31.73 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | M UNICORN | 2.9% | 34.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER MAGIC | 2.1% | 48.37 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY | 1.2% | 83.18 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 0.8% | 129.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 99.5
PLACE
4 17
7 30
12 20.5
QUINELLA
7,12 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 70
4,12 47
7,12 85
FORECAST
7,12 905
TIERCE
7,12,4 2,433
TRIO
4,7,12 261
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 583
QUARTET
7,12,4,1 18,889
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 33.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/4,7,12 89,691
5TH DOUBLE
1/7 1,389
1/12 91.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,13/1,5,9/Any Combination 377,290