Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPER HIGHWAY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with AWESOME TREASURE second and CHILLI BABA third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.10.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT 1.10.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 3 2.8 N
2 5 AWESOME TREASURE H/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 1 5.4 N
3 4 CHILLI BABA B C Y Ho · P F Yiu 10 10.0 2-3/4
4 10 TIMESTORM B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 5.2 2-3/4
5 3 CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz 5 15.0 4
6 9 BRAVE AND BOLD Z Purton · J Size 8 22.0 6-1/4
7 1 E BROTHER B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 2 7.9 7-1/4
8 2 LEATHER VANGUARD B Avdulla · T P Yung 4 42.0 7-1/4
9 11 MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H Bentley · L Ho 12 24.0 7-3/4
10 7 CRYSTAL POWERFUL TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 7 53.0 8-3/4
11 12 BEAT HOLLOW CP K Teetan · Y S Tsui 11 17.0 9
12 8 FASTPASS B H T Mo · K W Lui 9 127.0 10
0 RACING FIGHTER C L Chau · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER HIGHWAY2. AWESOME TREASURE+0.05L3. CHILLI BABA+2.75L4. TIMESTORM+2.75L5. CALIFORNIA CONCORD+4L6. BRAVE AND BOLD+6.25L7. E BROTHER+7.25L8. LEATHER VANGUARD+7.25L9. MY INTELLIGENT+7.75L10. CRYSTAL POWERFUL+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPER HIGHWAY (24.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SUPER HIGHWAY 24.9% 4.01 1
2 10 TIMESTORM 13.4% 7.45 4
3 5 AWESOME TREASURE 12.7% 7.85 2
4 4 CHILLI BABA 11.2% 8.95 3
5 1 E BROTHER 9.8% 10.22 7
6 3 CALIFORNIA CONCORD 8.0% 12.51 5
7 11 MY INTELLIGENT 5.5% 18.33 9
8 12 BEAT HOLLOW 5.0% 20.15 11
9 9 BRAVE AND BOLD 3.3% 30.74 6
10 2 LEATHER VANGUARD 2.8% 35.21 8
11 7 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 2.6% 38.26 10
12 8 FASTPASS 0.8% 118.09 12
SUPER HIGHWAY — wonTIMESTORMAWESOME TREASURECHILLI BABAE BROTHERCALIFORNIA CONCORDMY INTELLIGENTBEAT HOLLOWBRAVE AND BOLDLEATHER VANGUARDCRYSTAL POWERFULFASTPASS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 28

PLACE

4 34.5

5 20.5

6 13

QUINELLA

5,6 82

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 113.5

4,6 60

5,6 36

FORECAST

6,5 149

TIERCE

6,5,4 1,196

TRIO

4,5,6 326

FIRST 4

4,5,6,10 294

QUARTET

6,5,4,10 5,029

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/5 41

7/6 170.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,11/4,5,6 31,417

3 PICK 1

A1

A2 18.5

A3