Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 13:02
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT 1.49.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 14 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RING BELLS Led early B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 6.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BARON ZEE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 10 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 4.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE SR/CP1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly TT C L Cheung · C W Chang | C L Cheung | C W Chang | 12 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 13 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP XB1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 64.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 18.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. PAKISTAN FRIEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with RED ELYSEES second and RING BELLS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite OVER THE MOON finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OVER THE MOON | 20.3% | 4.92 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 11.7% | 8.55 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | RING BELLS | 10.4% | 9.64 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 9.1% | 11.01 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 8.1% | 12.29 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 7.2% | 13.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 5.7% | 17.40 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 5.0% | 19.96 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.0% | 25.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 3.5% | 28.75 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.1% | 32.64 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 2.9% | 34.57 | 4 |
| 14 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP | 1.6% | 63.00 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 47.5
PLACE
1 33.5
7 20
11 27.5
QUINELLA
1,7 279.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 99.5
1,11 146.5
7,11 68
FORECAST
7,1 518
TIERCE
7,1,11 3,938
TRIO
1,7,11 731
FIRST 4
1,7,11,14 3,704
QUARTET
7,1,11,14 50,150
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A2 —
A3 —