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Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 17:53

Race 10

Class 3 YIELDING 1600m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly 1.37.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 6.3 N
2 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 12 5.4 N
3 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly XB/TT B Avdulla · C W Chang 2 46.0 1-3/4
4 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · W Y So 10 33.0 2
5 0 RUN RUN BUDDY CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 14 11.0 2-1/4
6 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson 11 4.9 2-1/4
7 0 WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng 8 5.2 2-1/2
8 0 STAR CONTACT CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 3 17.0 4-3/4
9 0 CELTIC TIMES B/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting 13 10.0 5-1/4
10 0 RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung 7 50.0 5-1/2
11 0 UNPRESUMING B A Hamelin · J Size 4 8.6 5-1/2
12 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT K H Chan · C Fownes 6 84.0 7-1/4
13 0 ETERNAL BLOOM Led early TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 52.0 8
— 0 HK DRAGON V-/SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 9 61.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. UNIVERSAL HORIZON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with THE BEST PEACH second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite HAPPY TOGETHER finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. UNIVERSAL HORIZON—2. THE BEST PEACH+0.05L3. SO WE JOY+1.75L4. ENTRUSTED+2L5. RUN RUN BUDDY+2.25L6. HAPPY TOGETHER+2.25L7. WAR WEAPON+2.5L8. STAR CONTACT+4.75L9. CELTIC TIMES+5.25L10. RUNNING AHEAD+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick STAR CONTACT (16.5%) finished 8th — the winner UNIVERSAL HORIZON was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STAR CONTACT 16.5% 6.05 8
2 0 THE BEST PEACH 15.0% 6.69 2
3 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 13.3% 7.53 6
4 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON 11.5% 8.73 1
5 0 WAR WEAPON 9.7% 10.30 7
6 0 RUN RUN BUDDY 6.2% 16.09 5
7 0 CELTIC TIMES 6.1% 16.35 9
8 0 UNPRESUMING 4.7% 21.21 11
9 0 SO WE JOY 4.1% 24.50 3
10 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 4.0% 25.16 12
11 0 RUNNING AHEAD 3.7% 26.81 10
12 0 ETERNAL BLOOM 3.3% 30.29 13
13 0 ENTRUSTED 1.9% 51.40 4
STAR CONTACTTHE BEST PEACHHAPPY TOGETHERUNIVERSAL HORIZON — wonWAR WEAPONRUN RUN BUDDYCELTIC TIMESUNPRESUMINGSO WE JOYINVINCIBLE MISSILERUNNING AHEADETERNAL BLOOMENTRUSTED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 63.5

PLACE

1 20

2 108

12 22

QUINELLA

1,12 221.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 384.5

1,12 78.5

2,12 399

FORECAST

12,1 572

TIERCE

12,1,2 17,513

TRIO

1,2,12 2,721

FIRST 4

1,2,7,12 13,289

QUARTET

12,1,2,7 251,784

All pools (5 more)

2ND TREBLE

2/5/1 1,934

2/5/12 9,484

3 PICK 1

A1 29

A2 —

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,13/1,2,12 552,793

9TH DOUBLE

5/1 97.5

5/12 784

SIX UP

1/7/12/2/5/12 6,425,519

1,9/7,12/2,12/2,4/2,5/1,12 4,890

3 [A S Cruz] —

2 [H Bowman] —