沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 17:53
第 10場
2023-05-13沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的UNIVERSAL HORIZON勝出，贏出N。THE BEST PEACH獲得亞軍；SO WE JOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.9倍大熱門HAPPY TOGETHER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON 後段發力 1.37.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 XB/TT B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 2 | 46.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 10 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | RUN RUN BUDDY CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 11 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | WAR WEAPON 後段發力 XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES B/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 13 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 50.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | UNPRESUMING B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 8.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 84.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | ETERNAL BLOOM 早段領放 TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 52.0 | 8 |
| — | 5 | HK DRAGON V-/SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 61.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STAR CONTACT | 16.5% | 6.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH | 15.0% | 6.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 13.3% | 7.53 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | WAR WEAPON | 9.7% | 10.30 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 6.2% | 16.09 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES | 6.1% | 16.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | UNPRESUMING | 4.7% | 21.21 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | SO WE JOY | 4.1% | 24.50 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.0% | 25.16 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD | 3.7% | 26.81 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 3.3% | 30.29 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | ENTRUSTED | 1.9% | 51.40 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 63.5
PLACE
1 20
2 108
12 22
QUINELLA
1,12 221.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 384.5
1,12 78.5
2,12 399
FORECAST
12,1 572
TIERCE
12,1,2 17,513
TRIO
1,2,12 2,721
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 13,289
QUARTET
12,1,2,7 251,784
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/5/1 1,934
2/5/12 9,484
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 29
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,13/1,2,12 552,793
9TH DOUBLE
5/1 97.5
5/12 784
SIX UP
1/7/12/2/5/12 6,425,519
1,9/7,12/2,12/2,4/2,5/1,12 4,890
3 [A S Cruz] —
2 [H Bowman] —