沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 14:04
第 3場
2023-05-13沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的PULSAR STRIDER勝出，贏出N。DUBLIN STAR獲得亞軍；MULTISUPER獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門MULTISUPER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PULSAR STRIDER 1.10.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 11 | 28.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | MULTISUPER H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | GLUCK RACER V-/B2 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 1 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 44.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | PUBLICIST B-/V1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL GENIUS B1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 9.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | RATTAN WORLD XB-/B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 6 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PO ON WAY M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 5 | 9.1 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 150.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | CHILL WAY H/TT1 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 12 | 94.0 | 30-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MULTISUPER | 26.1% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | PULSAR STRIDER | 19.5% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | PO ON WAY | 14.7% | 6.79 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 8.1% | 12.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 7.1% | 14.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | PUBLICIST | 6.9% | 14.41 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | PINS PRINCE | 5.4% | 18.45 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR | 4.6% | 21.61 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.7% | 37.16 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | CHILL WAY | 2.3% | 43.56 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | RATTAN WORLD | 1.6% | 60.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 1.0% | 99.97 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 54.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 12
11 48.5
QUINELLA
1,11 658.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 26
1,11 181
4,11 91
FORECAST
1,11 922
TIERCE
1,11,4 3,476
TRIO
1,4,11 390
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 433
QUARTET
1,11,4,8 14,794
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 200.5
6/11 130.5
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —