沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-05-13沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的FLAMINGO TRILLION勝出，贏出1-1/2。CASA LEGEND獲得亞軍；SOLAR PARTNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門SOLAR PARTNER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION 後段發力 1.23.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER 早段領放 CP/TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ARIEL CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT 後段發力 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 57.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 4.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 123.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING TRAVIS 後段發力 H/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 7 | 173.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | D STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 8.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HERO ICON TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | M UNICORN H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 47.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | NOBLE ACE TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 43.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 31.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPER MAGIC B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 127.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ARIEL | 23.9% | 4.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 15.6% | 6.42 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 9.3% | 10.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | D STAR | 7.4% | 13.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 7.3% | 13.70 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | HERO ICON | 4.3% | 23.11 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 3.8% | 26.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 3.2% | 30.98 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | NOBLE ACE | 3.2% | 31.73 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | M UNICORN | 2.9% | 34.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER MAGIC | 2.1% | 48.37 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY | 1.2% | 83.18 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 0.8% | 129.89 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 99.5
PLACE
4 17
7 30
12 20.5
QUINELLA
7,12 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 70
4,12 47
7,12 85
FORECAST
7,12 905
TIERCE
7,12,4 2,433
TRIO
4,7,12 261
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 583
QUARTET
7,12,4,1 18,889
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 33.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/4,7,12 89,691
5TH DOUBLE
1/7 1,389
1/12 91.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,13/1,5,9/Any Combination 377,290