沙田 · 2023-05-13 · 16:08
第 7場
2023-05-13沙田第7場，Class 1，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的RED LION勝出，贏出1-3/4。BEAUTY ETERNAL獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT STELLAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.9倍大熱門BEAUTY ETERNAL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED LION 後段發力 1.22.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 後段發力 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 1.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | THE IRISHMAN 後段發力 XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 後段發力 TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | BELUGA 後段發力 H H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 14 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | OUT TO WIN 後段發力 B/TT C Perkins · N P Moore | C Perkins | N P Moore | 11 | 88.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TURIN REDSUN SR/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 95.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | STAR OF YIU CHEUNG 早段領放 S Nakano · J Lau | S Nakano | J Lau | 5 | 50.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHEERFUL DAYS B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 41.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | FIFER C L Cheung · K M Chin | C L Cheung | K M Chin | 7 | 182.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 34.0 | 74-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 37.6% | 2.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | RED LION | 10.6% | 9.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 7.1% | 14.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | THE IRISHMAN | 6.5% | 15.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 6.1% | 16.33 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | BELUGA | 6.1% | 16.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.9% | 16.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | NEARLY FINE | 3.8% | 26.27 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 3.6% | 27.75 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | STAR OF YIU CHEUNG | 3.4% | 29.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | OUT TO WIN | 3.0% | 33.52 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | FIFER | 2.7% | 37.41 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | KEEFY | 1.8% | 55.60 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | TURIN REDSUN | 1.7% | 57.88 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 54
PLACE
2 12
3 26
12 18
QUINELLA
2,12 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 34.5
2,12 28.5
3,12 74.5
FORECAST
12,2 212
TIERCE
12,2,3 988
TRIO
2,3,12 120
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 259
QUARTET
12,2,3,5 6,652
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 38
7/12 1,266