Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION Closed strongly 1.22.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 1.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 14 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | OUT TO WIN Closed strongly B/TT C Perkins · N P Moore | C Perkins | N P Moore | 11 | 88.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN SR/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 95.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF YIU CHEUNG Led early S Nakano · J Lau | S Nakano | J Lau | 5 | 50.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 41.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FIFER BL C L Cheung · K M Chin | C L Cheung | K M Chin | 7 | 182.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 34.0 | 74-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. RED LION, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with BEAUTY ETERNAL second and CIRCUIT STELLAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BEAUTY ETERNAL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 37.6% | 2.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED LION | 10.6% | 9.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 7.1% | 14.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 6.5% | 15.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 6.1% | 16.33 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BELUGA | 6.1% | 16.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.9% | 16.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 3.8% | 26.27 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 3.6% | 27.75 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF YIU CHEUNG | 3.4% | 29.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | OUT TO WIN | 3.0% | 33.52 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FIFER | 2.7% | 37.41 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEFY | 1.8% | 55.60 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 1.7% | 57.88 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 54
PLACE
2 12
3 26
12 18
QUINELLA
2,12 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 34.5
2,12 28.5
3,12 74.5
FORECAST
12,2 212
TIERCE
12,2,3 988
TRIO
2,3,12 120
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 259
QUARTET
12,2,3,5 6,652
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 29
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 38
7/12 1,266