Sha Tin · 2023-05-13 · 17:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. BRAVE DREAMS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with CALIFORNIA VOCE second and NOBLE WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite GOLDEN ARTIE finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRAVE DREAMS Closed strongly TT 1.24.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SINBA Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 13 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | THE ROCK A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | BIG RED S Nakano · C W Chang | S Nakano | C W Chang | 12 | 157.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.6 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | BULLETPROOF H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 5 | 57.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 10 | EURO ROCKS C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 16.9% | 5.92 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | SINBA | 16.4% | 6.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | BRAVE DREAMS | 9.6% | 10.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO | 8.0% | 12.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 7.4% | 13.51 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 7.3% | 13.71 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 7.2% | 13.95 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | E LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | NOBLE WIN | 6.3% | 15.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY FIT | 5.1% | 19.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | BULLETPROOF | 4.2% | 23.92 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | THE ROCK | 2.9% | 34.93 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | BIG RED | 1.8% | 55.22 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 134.5
PLACE
2 26
5 35
13 46.5
QUINELLA
2,5 474.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 137.5
2,13 199
5,13 329
FORECAST
5,2 988
TIERCE
5,2,13 11,876
TRIO
2,5,13 2,324
FIRST 4
2,5,7,13 11,154
QUARTET
5,2,13,7 228,685
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36.5
A1 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 139.5
2/5 1,565.5