沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 16:31
第 2場
2023-06-25沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SUPERB DADDY勝出，贏出1。GENERAL WINNER獲得亞軍；BEAUTY NOVA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門MEDIC ELITE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 TT 1.36.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 8.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 CP Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA 後段發力 TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUNG SPARKLE 後段發力 B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHIRON 後段發力 CP2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 B/H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | STAR OF GLORY 早段領放 B E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 4.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK B-/V2/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 13 | 59.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP-/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 52.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 63.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 14 | TURF BRILLIANT V-/B2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 14 | 64.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 13.8% | 7.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA | 11.1% | 9.01 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 9.4% | 10.64 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | BOYS PARTY | 7.8% | 12.89 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 6.3% | 15.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHIRON | 5.0% | 19.84 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.5% | 22.11 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | STAR OF GLORY | 2.4% | 41.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.7% | 59.72 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.7% | 60.11 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 1.5% | 67.73 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.0% | 98.26 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 89
PLACE
5 21.5
8 29.5
10 32.5
QUINELLA
5,8 253
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 95
5,10 94
8,10 137.5
FORECAST
8,5 606
TIERCE
8,5,10 4,262
TRIO
5,8,10 585
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 2,274
QUARTET
8,5,10,9 51,155
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
14/5 32
14/8 310.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,14/5,8,10 10,393
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5