沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 20:48
第 10場
2023-06-25沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的TAJ DRAGON勝出，贏出N。SOLID IMPACT獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT MIGHTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TAJ DRAGON 後段發力 1.22.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT 後段發力 E C W Wong · D J Hall | E C W Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 6.1 | N |
| 4 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 CP-/V2/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SIXTH GENERATION 後段發力 H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 13 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | CHARITY GRACE 後段發力 B2/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | EURO ROCKS 早段領放 TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 8.2 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | PACKING KNOCKHILL XB1 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 8 | 43.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | NINJA DERBY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 152.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CAPITAL DELIGHT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TAJ DRAGON | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SIXTH GENERATION | 20.1% | 4.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.3% | 12.09 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | EURO ROCKS | 6.6% | 15.14 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 6.4% | 15.58 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.0% | 16.78 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.3% | 18.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 4.9% | 20.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.8% | 21.00 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 4.5% | 22.17 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.8% | 36.01 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | CHARITY GRACE | 1.8% | 55.15 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | PACKING KNOCKHILL | 1.3% | 74.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | NINJA DERBY | 0.7% | 144.83 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
2 30.5
7 15
11 21.5
QUINELLA
2,7 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 60.5
2,11 112.5
7,11 40
FORECAST
7,2 284
TIERCE
7,2,11 1,291
TRIO
2,7,11 276
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 1,042
QUARTET
7,2,11,6 13,376
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
5,11/6/2 155
5,11/6/7 184
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,14/2,7,11 28,344
9TH DOUBLE
6/2 60.5
6/7 34.5
SIX UP
8/8/4,5/5,11/6/7 19,231
8,9/7,8/4,5,8/3,5,11/6,14/2,7 1,394
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size] —