沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 18:03
第 5場
2023-06-25沙田第5場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P C Ng訓練的BILLIONAIRE SECRET勝出，贏出1-1/2。SUPER HONG KONG獲得亞軍；HELENE ALLIBOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.6倍大熱門SUPER HONG KONG跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 H/PC/XB 2.03.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 13 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | HELENE ALLIBOR 後段發力 V/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | READY PLAYER ONE 後段發力 B/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER 早段領放 B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 8.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | EL VALIENTE 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS B-/CP1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 7.5 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | DEAR SIBLING B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 14 | 120.0 | 24-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 32.0 | 33-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 9 | 59.0 | 63-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 15.7% | 6.38 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | EL VALIENTE | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 9.6% | 10.39 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG | 8.8% | 11.31 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | READY PLAYER ONE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.8% | 12.76 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | WONDER YEARS | 6.3% | 15.90 | 11 |
| 9 | 14 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 5.8% | 17.18 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT | 4.9% | 20.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.2% | 23.73 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.3% | 29.99 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 3.2% | 31.28 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.2% | 81.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 83
PLACE
8 25.5
9 21
14 23.5
QUINELLA
8,9 208.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 77
8,14 103
9,14 71
FORECAST
8,9 373
TIERCE
8,9,14 2,681
TRIO
8,9,14 489
FIRST 4
1,8,9,14 1,440
QUARTET
8,9,14,1 31,408
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/12/8 6,218
2/12/9 772
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
12/8 3,628.5
12/9 410.5