沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 19:39
第 8場
2023-06-25沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的GREENWICH勝出，贏出1-1/4。HONG KONG HALL獲得亞軍；HERO ICON獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREENWICH TT1 1.09.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HONG KONG HALL TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | HERO ICON TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | NICETOBEMET CP/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | ENDEARED XB L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 58.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | MULTIDARLING CP/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | EVER BLESSING CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | GLUCK RACER B2/TT2 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR-/H/CP1/TT M Dee · K H Ting | M Dee | K H Ting | 4 | 108.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | VANQUISHER B-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HELLS BELLS SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 2 | 81.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREENWICH | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HONG KONG HALL | 15.7% | 6.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | HERO ICON | 13.6% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY GOR | 11.8% | 8.46 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIDARLING | 10.3% | 9.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NICETOBEMET | 9.6% | 10.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | EVER BLESSING | 4.4% | 22.61 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | GLUCK RACER | 4.1% | 24.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 2.3% | 42.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 2.3% | 43.08 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | HELLS BELLS | 2.0% | 48.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | VANQUISHER | 1.4% | 70.62 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ENDEARED | 1.3% | 75.01 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 31.5
PLACE
3 19.5
5 15.5
12 18
QUINELLA
3,5 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 40
3,12 47
5,12 42
FORECAST
5,3 184
TIERCE
5,3,12 674
TRIO
3,5,12 186
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 288
QUARTET
5,3,12,9 5,045
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6,8/3,5,11,12 633
7TH DOUBLE
4,5/3 12.5
4,5/5,11 73