沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 17:31
第 4場
2023-06-25沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的SO AWESOME勝出，贏出1/2。JUNE PLANET獲得亞軍；NATURAL GOLD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門JUNE PLANET跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SO AWESOME 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 13 | 32.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | JUNE PLANET 後段發力 B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | NATURAL GOLD 早段領放 SR/XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ARIEL 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | VANTASTIC CHOICE B M Dee · C H Yip | M Dee | C H Yip | 9 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | BRAVE AND BOLD 後段發力 K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 12 | 44.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WINNING DATA 後段發力 B-/TT- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | LEATHER MASTER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 114.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TATTENHAM XB-/H/P/TT- M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 7 | 91.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT V-/TT A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 8 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | GOAL ORIENTED SR/H1/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 4 | 127.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ARIEL | 31.9% | 3.13 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH | 14.4% | 6.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | JUNE PLANET | 14.1% | 7.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | NATURAL GOLD | 7.3% | 13.72 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 7.2% | 13.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | WINNING DATA | 4.7% | 21.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 4.3% | 23.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | SMART LEADER | 4.0% | 25.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 3.6% | 27.88 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.1% | 32.63 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | SO AWESOME | 3.0% | 32.91 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | GOAL ORIENTED | 1.0% | 102.88 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | LEATHER MASTER | 0.7% | 135.70 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | TATTENHAM | 0.7% | 140.52 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 325
PLACE
5 15.5
6 24.5
12 81.5
QUINELLA
5,12 552
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 53
5,12 162.5
6,12 324.5
FORECAST
12,5 1,856
TIERCE
12,5,6 9,626
TRIO
5,6,12 972
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 1,161
QUARTET
12,5,6,2 48,195
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/5,6,12 26,122
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 42.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/5 10.5
2/12 571