沙田 · 2023-06-25 · 20:13
第 9場
2023-06-25沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的HELIOS EXPRESS勝出，贏出3。TOMODACHI KOKOROE獲得亞軍；MODULECONSTRUCTION獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HELIOS EXPRESS 1.08.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 1.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP-/H1/TT H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 2 | 54.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | DRAGON'S LUCK L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | OUTGATE H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 13 | 67.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MAYHEM H M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 74.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 14 | 61.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | CHATEAU L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 5 | 105.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | STREET CONQUEROR H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 3 | 31.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | TELECOM SPEED C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 105.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 12 | 21.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | NABOO LEGEND B- K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 22.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | SAKEWIN CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 61.0 | TO |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 46.5% | 2.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 22.4% | 4.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | DRAGON'S LUCK | 9.8% | 10.16 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.3% | 29.90 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | TELECOM SPEED | 2.4% | 41.68 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | NABOO LEGEND | 2.4% | 42.45 | 13 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPASSION SUPER | 2.2% | 44.82 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 2.0% | 49.67 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | STREET CONQUEROR | 2.0% | 50.90 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | SAKEWIN | 1.7% | 59.45 | 14 |
| 11 | 3 | OUTGATE | 1.5% | 67.79 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 1.4% | 72.48 | 2 |
| 13 | 5 | CHATEAU | 1.2% | 82.08 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | MAYHEM | 1.2% | 82.15 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 16.5
PLACE
6 10.5
10 15.5
14 89.5
QUINELLA
6,14 337.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 19.5
6,14 112.5
10,14 219
FORECAST
6,14 922
TIERCE
6,14,10 1,714
TRIO
6,10,14 245
FIRST 4
2,6,10,14 487
QUARTET
6,14,10,2 11,542
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
5,11/6 77
5,11/14 438