Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 19:39
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GREENWICH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with HONG KONG HALL second and HERO ICON third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREENWICH TT1 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HONG KONG HALL TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | HERO ICON TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | NICETOBEMET CP/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | ENDEARED XB L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 58.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | MULTIDARLING CP/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | EVER BLESSING CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | GLUCK RACER B2/TT2 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR-/H/CP1/TT M Dee · K H Ting | M Dee | K H Ting | 4 | 108.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | VANQUISHER B-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HELLS BELLS SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 2 | 81.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREENWICH | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HONG KONG HALL | 15.7% | 6.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | HERO ICON | 13.6% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY GOR | 11.8% | 8.46 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIDARLING | 10.3% | 9.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NICETOBEMET | 9.6% | 10.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | EVER BLESSING | 4.4% | 22.61 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | GLUCK RACER | 4.1% | 24.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 2.3% | 42.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 2.3% | 43.08 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | HELLS BELLS | 2.0% | 48.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | VANQUISHER | 1.4% | 70.62 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ENDEARED | 1.3% | 75.01 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31.5
PLACE
3 19.5
5 15.5
12 18
QUINELLA
3,5 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 40
3,12 47
5,12 42
FORECAST
5,3 184
TIERCE
5,3,12 674
TRIO
3,5,12 186
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 288
QUARTET
5,3,12,9 5,045
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6,8/3,5,11,12 633
7TH DOUBLE
4,5/3 12.5
4,5/5,11 73