Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 19:07
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL Closed strongly 1.48.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 1.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Led early M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 6 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PANFIELD TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SENOR TOBA TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BELUGA L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TUCHEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with THE BEST PEACH second and SPIRITED EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL | 61.7% | 1.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH | 9.4% | 10.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 8.4% | 11.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PANFIELD | 7.8% | 12.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 6.4% | 15.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 3.3% | 30.18 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 3.0% | 33.27 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 15
PLACE
5 10.1
6 17
8 17
QUINELLA
5,8 37.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 19.5
5,8 17.5
6,8 37.5
FORECAST
5,8 59
TIERCE
5,8,6 120
TRIO
5,6,8 40
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 148
QUARTET
5,8,6,7 1,060
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12
6TH DOUBLE
8/4,5 171.5
8/8 34