Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 20:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.22.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly E C W Wong · D J Hall | E C W Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 6.1 | N |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 13 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B2/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINGS OF WAR B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | EURO ROCKS Led early TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 8.2 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | PACKING KNOCKHILL XB1 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 8 | 43.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CAPITAL DELIGHT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly CP-/V2/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| — | 0 | NINJA DERBY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | — | 152.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 16.0 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with SOLID IMPACT second and CIRCUIT MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 20.1% | 4.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.3% | 12.09 | — |
| 4 | 0 | EURO ROCKS | 6.6% | 15.14 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 6.4% | 15.58 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.0% | 16.78 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.3% | 18.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 4.9% | 20.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.8% | 21.00 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 4.5% | 22.17 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.8% | 36.01 | — |
| 12 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 1.8% | 55.15 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | PACKING KNOCKHILL | 1.3% | 74.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | NINJA DERBY | 0.7% | 144.83 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
2 30.5
7 15
11 21.5
QUINELLA
2,7 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 60.5
2,11 112.5
7,11 40
FORECAST
7,2 284
TIERCE
7,2,11 1,291
TRIO
2,7,11 276
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 1,042
QUARTET
7,2,11,6 13,376
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
5,11/6/2 155
5,11/6/7 184
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,14/2,7,11 28,344
9TH DOUBLE
6/2 60.5
6/7 34.5
SIX UP
8/8/4,5/5,11/6/7 19,231
8,9/7,8/4,5,8/3,5,11/6,14/2,7 1,394
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —