Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 18:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY CHARGE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ADIOS second and PACKING TREADMILL third. The 1.4 favourite GOLDEN EXPRESS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.2 | N |
| 2 | 7 | ADIOS TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL SR B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 1.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH V/TT E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ATOMIC FORCE XB1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU B1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 51.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 45.8% | 2.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | WE ARE HERO | 18.5% | 5.39 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | ADIOS | 9.5% | 10.48 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 9.1% | 11.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.3% | 23.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.0% | 25.18 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.5% | 28.64 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ATOMIC FORCE | 2.7% | 37.55 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 2.6% | 38.02 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 72.5
PLACE
5 26
7 27
8 18
QUINELLA
7,8 273.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 129.5
5,8 74.5
7,8 56.5
FORECAST
8,7 653
TIERCE
8,7,5 4,408
TRIO
5,7,8 984
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 146
QUARTET
8,7,5,2 10,793
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 36
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,14/5,7,8 81,249
5TH DOUBLE
8/7 177
8/8 443.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,12/8,9,14/5,7,8 1,819,151
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,12/8,9,14/Any Combination 13,211