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Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 18:36

Race 6

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 7.2 N
2 0 ADIOS TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 1 10.0 N
3 0 PACKING TREADMILL SR B Avdulla · K W Lui 9 14.0 1-1/4
4 0 GOLDEN EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size 7 1.4 1-1/2
5 0 COMPUTER PATCH V/TT E C W Wong · K H Ting 5 17.0 2-1/4
6 0 ATOMIC FORCE XB1 H Bentley · C Fownes 8 50.0 4-1/4
8 0 WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man 2 14.0 6-3/4
9 0 CAMPIONE TT A Badel · A S Cruz 3 51.0 15-1/4
— 0 LUCKY WITH YOU B1 K Teetan · D A Hayes — 20.0 4-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY CHARGE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ADIOS second and PACKING TREADMILL third. The 1.4 favourite GOLDEN EXPRESS finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY CHARGE—2. ADIOS+0.05L3. PACKING TREADMILL+1.25L4. GOLDEN EXPRESS+1.5L5. COMPUTER PATCH+2.25L6. ATOMIC FORCE+4.25L8. WE ARE HERO+6.75L9. CAMPIONE+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOLDEN EXPRESS (45.8%) finished 4th — the winner BEAUTY CHARGE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN EXPRESS 45.8% 2.19 4
2 0 WE ARE HERO 18.5% 5.39 8
3 0 ADIOS 9.5% 10.48 2
4 0 BEAUTY CHARGE 9.1% 11.04 1
5 0 LUCKY WITH YOU 4.3% 23.07 —
6 0 PACKING TREADMILL 4.0% 25.18 3
7 0 COMPUTER PATCH 3.5% 28.64 5
8 0 ATOMIC FORCE 2.7% 37.55 6
9 0 CAMPIONE 2.6% 38.02 9
GOLDEN EXPRESSWE ARE HEROADIOSBEAUTY CHARGE — wonLUCKY WITH YOUPACKING TREADMILLCOMPUTER PATCHATOMIC FORCECAMPIONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 72.5

PLACE

5 26

7 27

8 18

QUINELLA

7,8 273.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 129.5

5,8 74.5

7,8 56.5

FORECAST

8,7 653

TIERCE

8,7,5 4,408

TRIO

5,7,8 984

FIRST 4

2,5,7,8 146

QUARTET

8,7,5,2 10,793

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 36

A3 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,14/5,7,8 81,249

5TH DOUBLE

8/7 177

8/8 443.5

TRIPLE TRIO

5,6,12/8,9,14/5,7,8 1,819,151

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,6,12/8,9,14/Any Combination 13,211