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Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 16:02

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RIVER VIEWS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with COMPASSION SPIRIT second and KARMA third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.22.77
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 RIVER VIEWS Wire to wire 1.22.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung 2 2.7 N
2 2 COMPASSION SPIRIT Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man 3 3.4 N
3 7 KARMA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 13 7.0 1-1/2
4 13 TRUST ME Closed strongly B-/H M Dee · C H Yip 4 11.0 1-3/4
5 10 DARCI LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 20.0 2
6 8 CHAMPION INSTINCT M Chadwick · D J Hall 14 21.0 2-3/4
7 11 SHINKANSEN Closed strongly H L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 37.0 4
8 4 DIAMOND FLARE TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 1 15.0 4-1/4
9 12 COPARTNER PUDONG B1 L Currie · J Size 6 55.0 5
10 3 BLISSFUL STAR V/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 11 13.0 5-1/2
11 6 CYBER PATCH B-/PC1/TT A Badel · P C Ng 12 138.0 6
12 5 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · A T Millard 10 65.0 7
13 1 ATOMIC BEAUTY TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz 5 72.0 7
14 9 ART LITE CP1/TT C L Chau · J Richards 7 168.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RIVER VIEWS2. COMPASSION SPIRIT+0.05L3. KARMA+1.5L4. TRUST ME+1.75L5. DARCI LEGEND+2L6. CHAMPION INSTINCT+2.75L7. SHINKANSEN+4L8. DIAMOND FLARE+4.25L9. COPARTNER PUDONG+5L10. BLISSFUL STAR+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick COMPASSION SPIRIT (19.4%) finished 2nd — the winner RIVER VIEWS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 COMPASSION SPIRIT 19.4% 5.17 2
2 14 RIVER VIEWS 17.7% 5.64 1
3 7 KARMA 8.8% 11.33 3
4 13 TRUST ME 8.4% 11.95 4
5 8 CHAMPION INSTINCT 8.0% 12.52 6
6 10 DARCI LEGEND 7.8% 12.76 5
7 3 BLISSFUL STAR 7.6% 13.20 10
8 4 DIAMOND FLARE 7.5% 13.32 8
9 11 SHINKANSEN 5.5% 18.24 7
10 5 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 3.7% 27.00 12
11 1 ATOMIC BEAUTY 2.0% 49.24 13
12 6 CYBER PATCH 1.4% 70.44 11
13 12 COPARTNER PUDONG 1.3% 78.85 9
14 9 ART LITE 0.9% 112.26 14
COMPASSION SPIRITRIVER VIEWS — wonKARMATRUST MECHAMPION INSTINCTDARCI LEGENDBLISSFUL STARDIAMOND FLARESHINKANSENSINGAPORE SUNSHINEATOMIC BEAUTYCYBER PATCHCOPARTNER PUDONGART LITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 27

PLACE

2 15

7 22.5

14 13.5

QUINELLA

2,14 53

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 55

2,14 26.5

7,14 44

FORECAST

14,2 129

TIERCE

14,2,7 610

TRIO

2,7,14 121

FIRST 4

2,7,13,14 242

QUARTET

14,2,7,13 4,225

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 15