Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 18:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. BILLIONAIRE SECRET, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with SUPER HONG KONG second and HELENE ALLIBOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.6 favourite SUPER HONG KONG finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB 2.03.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 13 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly V/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Led early B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 8.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS B-/CP1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 7.5 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | DEAR SIBLING B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 14 | 120.0 | 24-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 32.0 | 33-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 9 | 59.0 | 63-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 15.7% | 6.38 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | EL VALIENTE | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 9.6% | 10.39 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG | 8.8% | 11.31 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | READY PLAYER ONE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.8% | 12.76 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | WONDER YEARS | 6.3% | 15.90 | 11 |
| 9 | 14 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 5.8% | 17.18 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT | 4.9% | 20.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.2% | 23.73 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.3% | 29.99 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 3.2% | 31.28 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.2% | 81.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 83
PLACE
8 25.5
9 21
14 23.5
QUINELLA
8,9 208.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 77
8,14 103
9,14 71
FORECAST
8,9 373
TIERCE
8,9,14 2,681
TRIO
8,9,14 489
FIRST 4
1,8,9,14 1,440
QUARTET
8,9,14,1 31,408
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/12/8 6,218
2/12/9 772
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
12/8 3,628.5
12/9 410.5