Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 16:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB DADDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with GENERAL WINNER second and BEAUTY NOVA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT 1.36.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 8.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHIRON Closed strongly CP2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | STAR OF GLORY Led early B E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 4.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK B-/V2/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 13 | 59.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP-/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 52.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 63.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 14 | TURF BRILLIANT V-/B2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 14 | 64.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 13.8% | 7.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA | 11.1% | 9.01 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 9.4% | 10.64 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | BOYS PARTY | 7.8% | 12.89 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 6.3% | 15.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHIRON | 5.0% | 19.84 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.5% | 22.11 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | STAR OF GLORY | 2.4% | 41.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.7% | 59.72 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.7% | 60.11 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 1.5% | 67.73 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.0% | 98.26 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 89
PLACE
5 21.5
8 29.5
10 32.5
QUINELLA
5,8 253
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 95
5,10 94
8,10 137.5
FORECAST
8,5 606
TIERCE
8,5,10 4,262
TRIO
5,8,10 585
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 2,274
QUARTET
8,5,10,9 51,155
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
14/5 32
14/8 310.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,14/5,8,10 10,393
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5