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Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 16:31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.36.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT 1.36.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 9 8.9 1
2 0 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP Z Purton · W Y So 4 5.2 1
3 0 BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size 10 10.0 2
4 0 YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard 11 12.0 3-1/4
5 0 CHIRON Closed strongly CP2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 8 26.0 3-1/2
6 0 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz 5 10.0 4-3/4
7 0 STAR OF GLORY Led early B E C W Wong · C W Chang 12 6.3 4-3/4
8 0 MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 2 4.2 6-1/4
9 0 PEAK TO PEAK B-/V2/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 3 16.0 7-3/4
10 0 BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 13.0 10-1/4
11 0 LEISURE AND GOLD M L Yeung · C H Yip 13 59.0 11-1/4
12 0 THIS IS CHARISMA CP-/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall 1 52.0 12-3/4
13 0 POLYMER GLORIOUS SR L Ferraris · K H Ting 7 63.0 17
14 0 TURF BRILLIANT V-/B2 H W Lai · L Ho 14 64.0 17-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB DADDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with GENERAL WINNER second and BEAUTY NOVA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB DADDY—2. GENERAL WINNER+1L3. BEAUTY NOVA+2L4. YOUNG SPARKLE+3.25L5. CHIRON+3.5L6. SMART BEAUTY+4.75L7. STAR OF GLORY+4.75L8. MEDIC ELITE+6.25L9. PEAK TO PEAK+7.75L10. BOYS PARTY+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GENERAL WINNER (26.5%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPERB DADDY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GENERAL WINNER 26.5% 3.77 2
2 0 MEDIC ELITE 13.8% 7.26 8
3 0 BEAUTY NOVA 11.1% 9.01 3
4 0 PEAK TO PEAK 9.4% 10.64 9
5 0 BOYS PARTY 7.8% 12.89 10
6 0 SMART BEAUTY 7.3% 13.67 6
7 0 YOUNG SPARKLE 6.3% 15.89 4
8 0 CHIRON 5.0% 19.84 5
9 0 SUPERB DADDY 4.5% 22.11 1
10 0 STAR OF GLORY 2.4% 41.26 7
11 0 LEISURE AND GOLD 1.7% 59.72 11
12 0 POLYMER GLORIOUS 1.7% 60.11 13
13 0 THIS IS CHARISMA 1.5% 67.73 12
14 0 TURF BRILLIANT 1.0% 98.26 14
GENERAL WINNERMEDIC ELITEBEAUTY NOVAPEAK TO PEAKBOYS PARTYSMART BEAUTYYOUNG SPARKLECHIRONSUPERB DADDY — wonSTAR OF GLORYLEISURE AND GOLDPOLYMER GLORIOUSTHIS IS CHARISMATURF BRILLIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 89

PLACE

5 21.5

8 29.5

10 32.5

QUINELLA

5,8 253

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 95

5,10 94

8,10 137.5

FORECAST

8,5 606

TIERCE

8,5,10 4,262

TRIO

5,8,10 585

FIRST 4

5,8,9,10 2,274

QUARTET

8,5,10,9 51,155

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

14/5 32

14/8 310.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,14/5,8,10 10,393

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 22.5